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Electronics, chemicals and textiles are the most dynamic sectors in world trade and hold significant promise for developing countries, a new report from UNCTAD reveals.
The study ranks the most market dynamic product categories in world trade on the basis of long-term trends in market share and export value growth. Developed countries continue to be the major players, but some developing countries, particularly those in East Asia, have made successful bids to entering the dynamic sectors. For example, the share of developing countries in the world exports of the top two market dynamic product categories, namely radiographic and radiophonic transmitters and computer storage units, increased from near zero in 1985 to 22 per cent in 2002. However, only in under garments, ranked sixth by the UNCTAD (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development) study, developing countries have outpaced the share of developed countries.
The experience of successful developing countries indicate that dynamic and new sectors of world trade can provide opportunities for developing countries to accelerate growth, increase domestic value added of exports, increase productivity and competitiveness, and enhance employment and quality of jobs, thereby contributing to the achievement of the objectives and goals of the United Nations Millennium Declaration.
However Africa and the least developed countries (LDCs) are struggling to keep up.
UNCTAD at a meeting held on 7-9 February 2005 in Geneva launched a process of regular policy dialogue on developing countries' export performance in dynamic and new sectors of world trade. It took up three sectors, namely outsourcing of IT-enabled services, renewable energy products including bio-fuels, and textiles and clothing. Key issues covered including opportunities offered by the dynamic and new sectors to developing countries in ensuring development gains from international trade and key determinants of their participation in these sectors.
Ranking of dynamic products in world trade in terms of growth in market share and world export value
Rank
SITC 2
code
Product Market share increment (%) Value of world exports (current $US millions) Average annual growth rate of world exports Developing country share of world exports (%) 1985-2002 1985 2002 (%) 1985 2002 1 7643 radiotelegraphic & radiotelephonic transmitters 1.21 2,365 75,859 23 1 22 2 7524 computer storage units 0.67 136 37,568 39 0 22 3 7764 electronic microcircuits 2.26 10,213 163,336 18 15 15 4 5417 medicaments 1.61 9,101 123,459 17 5 4 5 7528 off-line computers 0.29 587 18,363 22 1 28 6 8462 under garments 0.30 1,689 23,015 17 19 57 7 5148 nitrogen-function compounds 0.29 2,261 24,603 15 4 6 8 5416 glycosides; glands & organs 0.21 1,105 15,842 17 2 4 9 7924 aircraft 0.63 6,247 58,061 14 1 2 10 8743 non-electrical instruments for measuring, checking flow 0.21 1,268 16,554 16 1 17 11 6552 knitted/crocheted fabrics 0.19 820 13,376 18 8 22 12 5839 polymerization and copolimerization products 0.29 2,611 25,698 14 2 7 13 8710 optical instruments and apparatus 0.21 1,632 17,488 15 0 12 14 5530 perfumery, cosmetics and toiletries 0.29 2,976 26,847 14 5 11 15 8211 chairs, seats and parts 0.27 2,807 25,136 14 2 39 16 7712 electric power machinery 0.22 2,249 20,258 14 2 32 17 8931 packing materials 0.19 2,036 18,340 14 3 24 18 7144 reaction engines 0.16 1,815 15,464 13 0 5
Source: United Nations COMTRADE Database
Note: Average annual growth rates are computed using current values of exports. Lower average annual growth rates would be obtained if constant values were used although the ranking would remain unchanged.
SB/MRS
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